India & The New Anti-China Coalition
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What is the significance of Modi’s recent tour of Australia, New Zealand and Indonesia?
India. The most populous country in the world, the fourth largest economy on the planet, probably on course to be the third, and increasingly one of the most interesting geopolitical players in the world. Last week, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi made a whistle-stop tour around the South Pacific, visiting Australia, New Zealand, and Indonesia. And although India's Cricket team is familiar with touring the latter two nations, its Prime Minister visits down under far less frequently. Putting to one side all the diplomatic niceties exchanged between the country's leaders, this visit marks a significant development not just in the Pacific, but in global geopolitics. So today on the podcast, we ask what does Modi's visit?
What does it mean? And why is it so significant?
Welcome to this podcast from Geopolitical Futures. I'm Christian Smith, and I am joined by Geopolitical Futures Chairman and Founder, George Friedman. George, India's Prime Minister, uh, well, he's been meeting counterparts in Australia, New Zealand, and Indonesia over the last week. But Modi visits a lot of other countries. Apparently, he's visited about a hundred since he came to office. What's the big deal about this? One is this not just another trip to another country?
No, because in each of these countries, including Japan, where the Japanese Prime Minister had visited India. And Vietnam, which also Agreement was reached for cooperative defense. Work, security work, strategic relationships. So what this Was about was something substantial. It was not just a visit it created a structure. Around each other. And now including India. Add a defensive force. Obviously, primarily against China. This followed from The fact that the United States Excepting Iran, of course, wants to Disentangle itself. From the region. It sees just as in Europe that Europe is quite capable economically and militarily of defending itself if it uses though. They've said the same thing in uh Asia. And the Japanese have been increasing their military force.
Australians have been doing so. New Zealand even hasn't been doing so. Now India is joining that and if you look at a map, that places quite a line of countries around the Chinese perimeter.
You you mentioned a a defence sort of pact there, George. I mean, what does it actually mean though? They're not i they're not exactly in an alliance or anything like that.
Well, and it's not that they guarantee one attack on one is the attack on all. Uh it's rather a Recognition that they have fundamental strategic and defense interests in common. What this means in practical terms is Mutual development of defense capabilities. Okay. So India is emerging as a very developed Technological country. Japan is there. Australia is also there, New Zealand as well. All these countries are have tremendous capabilities and potentialities in terms of defending themselves. Simply the process of Exchanging weaponry, if you will. And passing them around and allowing each one to concentrate on something else. gives each of them much greater attitude.
How does the new anti‑China coalition differ from a formal alliance?
Also Implicit in this is the idea that they have a common interest in The only common interest they have is limiting China. Remember, India fought battles along its frontier against the Chinese. Vietnam was after the Vietnam War invaded by the Chinese. The Japanese were are sitting there looking at the Chinese, worried very much that the United States is leaving. So this is a new geopolitical structure that has emerged. In the same way that Europe is trying to find out h exactly how it does this without the United States, not quite being able to start. Figure out the problem. Modi's visit. Where these countries are already cooperating. nailed it because it brought India into it. Now China has a major Power
On land. As well as naval powers. And this Major power has already fought battles with the Chinese, with the Chinese as aggressor and India as defender. And defeated Chinese. In that small b those spawn battles. So this is really a significant thing, okay? So in the same way as the United States wants NATO
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Chapters
8 chapters
1
What is the significance of Modi’s recent tour of Australia, New Zealand and Indonesia?
0:06–4:17
2
How does the new anti‑China coalition differ from a formal alliance?
4:17–8:03
3
What strategic benefits do India, Japan, Australia and Indonesia gain from shared defence projects?
8:03–12:30
4
Why is Indonesia’s geographic position critical for limiting China’s naval reach?
12:30–17:03
5
How do trade and rare‑earth agreements reinforce the geopolitical partnership?
17:03–20:55
6
What are China’s possible counter‑moves to this emerging Indo‑Pacific framework?
20:55–24:39
7
How does Pakistan’s alignment with China affect India’s strategic calculations?
24:39–28:47
8
What are the long‑term implications of this loose anti‑China structure for the Indo‑Pacific order?
28:47–33:24