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Excess Returns

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The SpaceX IPO… What Happens When $1.75 Trillion Meets 4% Float

06 Jun 2026

Contributed by Lukas

On the latest Click Beta, Matt Zeigler, Dave Nadig and Cameron Dawson discuss what could happen when SpaceX goes public and why this IPO may be as muc...

Tech Spending Has a Cash Problem | Jim Paulsen on the Two Signals That Could Trigger a Correction

04 Jun 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Jim Paulsen returns to Excess Returns to discuss why he is increasingly concerned about a meaningful stock market pullback, even though he does not ex...

He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps

02 Jun 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Kai Wu of Sparkline Capital joins Excess Returns to break down his latest research on AI disruption, software stocks, value traps, and intangible moat...

The Three Cracks in the AI Trade | Ben Hunt, Brent Kochuba and Aahan Menon on What Could Derail the Market's Biggest Bet

30 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Last Call, we break down one of the most confusing market backdrops in years: AI-driven earnings optimism, rising oil and inflation...

Cheap Is a Warning, Not a Thesis | Adam Parker on What This Market Is Really Pricing

28 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Adam Parker returns to Excess Returns to explain why the market may be trading more on future fundamentals than investors think, how AI is reshaping s...

He Built the Fund He'd Hold 30 Years | Eric Crittenden on What Investors Pick When Labels Come Off

26 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Eric Crittenden joins Matt Zeigler and Jason Buck for a deep dive into trend following and managed futures.They discuss why systematic macro trend inv...

The Papers Finance Didn't Want to Hear | Cliff Asness Breaks Down His Greatest Hits

23 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Cliff Asness returns to Excess Returns for a greatest hits tour through some of his most important and entertaining investing ideas.We discuss bubble ...

He Studied Every Bear Market Since 1929 | Ben Carlson on How the Worst Starting Point Still Made 8%

21 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Ben Carlson joins Excess Returns to discuss his new book Risk and Reward and the biggest lessons investors can learn from market history. We cover how...

Is AI Still in 1995? Gene Munster and Doug Clinton on the Next Phase of the AI Boom

19 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

AI is moving from hype to real enterprise adoption, and Gene Munster and Doug Clinton join Excess Returns to explain what that means for investors, te...

Jeremy Grantham on AI, Bubbles and Why Mean Reversion Lives On

16 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Jeremy Grantham joins Excess Returns to discuss The Making of a Permabear, mean reversion, market bubbles, AI, the Magnificent 7, and the long-term le...

Financial Risk Has Quietly Left the Banks | Marc Rubinstein on What That Means for Markets

15 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Marc Rubinstein joins Excess Returns to explain what private credit, bank earnings, insurance balance sheets, fintech growth, and arbitrage firms reve...

Andy Constan on Investing Through Bubbles | First Principles Episode 1

14 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

First Principles with Andy Constan launches with a deep dive into market bubbles, AI, semiconductor stocks, and the financial conditions that can turn...

He Wrote the Book on Bubbles | Edward Chancellor on If AI is Different

12 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Edward Chancellor joins Kai Wu on the latest episode of the Intangible Economy to discuss what financial history and capital cycle theory can teach in...

We Asked an Options Expert Why This Melt Up Hasn’t Broken — and Which Signal Could End It

10 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma joins Jack Forehand for the May 2026 OPEX Effect to break down what options positioning is saying after a massive AI and se...

We Asked a $4.5B Quant Manager Why the S&P 500 Is Just 46 Stocks — and Why Small Caps Aren't Dead

08 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Elena Khoziaeva, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Bridgeway Capital Management, joins Excess Returns to discuss factor investing, ...

The Last Moat | Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel on the Stock Picking Edge AI Can’t Replicate

06 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of our new showThe 100 Year Thinkers brings together Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel for a deep discussion on long-term stock picking, microca...

We Asked Rich Bernstein and Chris Davis Why This Market Isn’t as Safe as It Feels

04 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This week’s Excess Returns Weekly Wrap examines what Chris Davis and Rich Bernstein can teach investors about letting winners run, inflation risk, m...

We Asked Ben Hunt, Jim Paulsen, Kevin Muir and Brent Kochuba Why Bad News Can’t Break This Market

01 May 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Last Call breaks down one of the most confusing market environments in recent memory: why stocks continue to rise despite war, oil sho...

Richard Bernstein on Finding Opportunity in a Narrow Market

29 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode explores one of the most important debates in markets today: whether investors are underestimating the risk of higher inflation and overc...

Chris Davis on Durability, AI Disruption, and the Risks Investors Are Missing

27 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode with Chris Davis of Davis Advisors explores how investors should think about risk, valuation, and opportunity in a market defined by high...

Buy High, Sell Higher | Travis Prentice on Dispersion, Passive's Structural Risk and Why 52 Week Highs Don't Mean What You Think

24 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode explores how massive structural shifts—AI, deglobalization, and the rise of passive investing—are reshaping markets and what that mea...

The Secular Plateau | Chris Bloomstran on Why We May Be at Peak Valuations

22 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode features Chris Bloomstran of Semper Augustus discussing market concentration, AI capital spending, Berkshire Hathaway, and the risks faci...

We Asked David Rosenberg Why He Owns Almost No US Stocks — and What He Holds Instead

19 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode features David Rosenberg, founder of Rosenberg Research, breaking down why today’s market may be driven more by valuation excess and in...

The Resilience No One Trusts | Brent Donnelly on Why War and Oil Haven’t Broken This Market

17 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Brent Donnelly returns to Excess Returns to break down one of the most confusing market environments in years, where policy shocks, volatility, and po...

The Bear Market No One Sees | Liz Ann Sonders on the Real Story Indexes Hide

15 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab joins Excess Returns to break down how war, an oil shock, and shifting market dynamics are reshaping the investing landscape...

The Forever Invariable Truth | Jim Grant on War, Inflation, and What Comes Next

13 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode features Jim Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer on inflation, war, monetary policy, and the long arc of credit cycles. Grant expla...

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next

11 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple PodcastsThis episode of The Opex Effect breaks down why marke...

The Risk at the End of the Whip | GMO’s Tom Hancock on Finding Conviction Amid the AI Hype

09 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Excess Returns features GMO’s Tom Hancock on how to think about AI as an investment opportunity and what truly defines “quality”...

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time

08 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Excess Returns features Jim Paulsen breaking down the current macro environment through a series of powerful indicators, including oil...

The Inevitability No One Sees | $11 Billion Tech Manager on What Investors Miss About AI

06 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Excess Returns features Tony Wang of T. Rowe Price discussing how investors can identify “inevitabilities” in technology and posit...

The Signal Before the Spike | Katie Stockton on What the Charts Tell Us About What Comes Next

03 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode explores the growing signs of a shift beneath the surface of the market, as technical indicators point to weakening momentum in equities ...

Michael Mauboussin | AI, Base Rates, and Investing in the New Economy

02 Apr 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this inaugural episode of our new show, The Intangible Economy with Kai Wu, we explore how AI, intangible assets, and unprecedented capital investm...

The Stagflation Regime | Aahan Menon on What Works When Stocks and Bonds Don’t

31 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Excess Returns features Aahan Menon of Prometheus Research breaking down the growing risk of an inflation shock driven by energy marke...

6x Earnings. 10x Potential. | Harris Kupperman on the Inflections Wall Street Misses

30 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode explores Harris “Kuppy” Kupperman’s framework for “inflection investing” and how he identifies asymmetric opportunities across ...

The Moment Common Knowledge Changed | Last Call - With Andy Constan, Ben Hunt, Brent Kochuba and Eric Pachman

28 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of our new market wrap show Last Call breaks down the biggest market drivers right now through three distinct lenses: macro, narrative, a...

The Private Credit Apocalypse That Isn’t Coming | Larry Swedroe Dispels the Myths

26 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Larry Swedroe to break down one of the most debated topics in markets today: private credit. Larry...

Nothing Is Priced In | Bob Elliott on Why Investors Are Misreading the Oil Shock

25 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Excess Returns features Bob Elliott discussing the growing fragility in the global economy as an oil shock collides with a shift from ...

You Couldn’t Take Out Amazon with $50 Billion | The 100 Year Thinkers on Why Outliers Drive Returns

23 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Subscribe to the 100 Year Thinkers of Spotify⁠⁠Subscribe to the 100 Year Thinkers of AppleIn this episode of our new show, 100 Year Thinkers, Robe...

Big Decline. Options Support Gone | Brent Kochuba on the Fragile Market Setup

21 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Spotify⁠⁠Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple PodcastsThis episode breaks down the growing tension beneath the su...

The War Markets Can't Price | Jared Dillian on the Regime Change Investors Miss

19 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode, Jared Dillian joins Excess Returns to break down why markets consistently misprice major regime shifts, geopolitical risks, and infla...

They Call It a Lottery Ticket. The Data Says Otherwise | D.A. Wallach on The Hidden Alpha of Biotech

16 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Biotech is one of the few areas in investing where specialized knowledge may still generate persistent alpha. In this episode of Excess Returns, D.A. ...

14% for Tech. 1% for Everyone Else | The Weekly Wrap – 3/14/2026

15 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Follow Two Quants and a Financial Planner on Spotify⁠⁠Follow Two Quants and a Financial Planner on AppleIn this episode, we break down the most im...

Finding Compounders in the Age of AI | Joseph Shaposhnik

12 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

On this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski speak with Rainwater Equity ETF portfolio manager Joseph Shaposhnik about how l...

Survival First. Returns Second | Vitaliy Katsenelson on Investing Amid Extreme Uncertainty

10 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski speak with Vitaliy Katsenelson, CEO of Investment Management Associates and aut...

What War Charts and AI Bubbles Miss | The Weekly Market Insight – March 8, 2026

09 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Follow Two Quants and a Financial Planner on SpotifyFollow Two Quants and a Financial Planner on AppleIn this new weekly Excess Returns recap, Jack Fo...

1% Growth. Zero Jobs | Jim Paulsen on the Recession Hiding in Plain Sight

07 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of the Jim Paulsen Show, Jim joins Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau to break down the macro forces shaping today’s markets and ec...

The Widest Valuation Gap in History | Rob Arnott on What Investors Are Missing About AI

05 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Rob Arnott returns to Excess Returns to discuss the biggest questions facing investors today, including the impact of geopolitical conflict, the valua...

The Funding Test Ahead | Andy Constan on AI, War Risk and the Shift Abroad

03 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we welcome back Andy Constan of Damped Spring Advisors for a wide-ranging discussion on geopolitical risk, AI and p...

Is AI Replacing Workers Faster Than We Think? | We Break Down the Viral AI Doom Loop Article

01 Mar 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode, Jack Forehand and Kai Wu break down the viral “AI doom loop” article that sparked debate across Wall Street, Silicon Valley, and ...

The AI Panic Trade | What the Viral Doomsday AI Article Means for Markets

28 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Follow Last Call on Spotify⁠⁠Follow Last Call on Apple PodcastsIn this episode of Last Call, Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler look past the headline...

The Risk No One Defines | Cullen Roche on Building Your Perfect Portfolio

27 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Cullen Roche to discuss his new book Your Perfect Portfolio and the deeper principles behind build...

The Edge Isn’t Alpha | Matt Reustle on How Professional Investors Use AI

25 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Matt Russell of Business Breakdowns to explore how AI is actually being used in investing today. W...

When You've Won the Game, Stop Playing | What Great Investors Taught Us About Portfolio and Purpose

23 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Subscribe to Two Quants and a Financial Planner on SpotifySubscribe to Two Quants and a Financial Planner on AppleIn this episode, we explore one of t...

When Safe Becomes the Most Dangerous | The 100-Year Thinkers on AI, Staples and How Words Mislead

21 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of the 100 Year Thinkers, Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski continue their conversation with Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer, diving...

The Global Regime Change | Jason Hsu on AI, Factor Investing and What Investors Miss About China

19 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Jason Hsu returns for a wide-ranging conversation on China’s economy, the global AI race, emerging markets, facto...

When the Data Stops Working | Cameron Dawson and Dave Nadig on What Aggregate Economic Numbers Hide

17 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Subscribe to Click Beta on SpotifySubscribe to Click Beta on Apple PodcastsIn this episode of Click Beta, Matt Zeigler sits down with Cameron Dawson o...

This Only Happens in Markets Down 30% | Brent Kochuba on the Rotation Indexes Hide

15 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on SpotifySubscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple PodcastsIn this episode of The Opex Effect, Jack and Brent break down the...

The Fourth Turning is Here | Neil Howe and Ben Hunt on Inflation, Trust and What Comes Next

13 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Neil Howe, author of The Fourth Turning Is Here and co-creator of the Fourth Turning generational ...

You Can't Eat Risk-Adjusted Returns | AQR's Pete Hecht on Beating Stocks Without Giving Them Up

12 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Pete Hecht of AQR to break down portable alpha, capital efficient portfolio construction, and how ...

46% of the S&P 500 is One AI Bet | Kai Wu on Why It’s Likely the Wrong One

10 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Kai Wu of Sparkline Capital returns to discuss his latest research on AI adoption, ROI, and what it all means for i...

It’s Only a Question of When | Nir Kaissar on AI, Private Credit and the Regime Shift Investors Miss

09 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Bloomberg Opinion columnist Nir Kaissar for a wide-ranging conversation on markets, AI, interest r...

$70 Billion. 18 Straight Outperforming Years | David Giroux on the Index Trap and AI Hype

07 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

David Giroux, CIO of T. Rowe Price and manager of the Capital Appreciation strategy, joins Excess Returns for a wide ranging discussion on market valu...

Lowest Cash Levels Ever | Kevin Muir on Markets at Extremes

04 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Kevin Muir, author of The Macro Tourist, for a wide-ranging conversation on market sentiment, asse...

The Market That Bites Back | Victoria Greene on Surviving the Badger Market

02 Feb 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Victoria Greene of G Squared Private Wealth for a wide-ranging conversation on markets, macro risk...

Last Call: January 2026 | AI Capex, Private Credit Problems and the Unstable Market

31 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Follow Last Call on SpotifyFollow Last Call on Apple PodcastsJoin Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler for the premiere episode of Last Call, a new monthly ...

The Bubble You Can’t Exit | Dan Rasmussen on the Private Equity Trap

29 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we’re joined again by Dan Rasmussen of Verdad Advisors for a wide-ranging conversation that challenges some of th...

30 Times Earnings Isn't Expensive | Chris Mayer & Robert Hagstrom on the Labels That Destroy Returns

28 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of our new show The 100 Year Thinkers, Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom explore how the words investors use quietly shape the decisions...

60-20-20 Changed Everything | Tony Greer on the New Portfolio Regime

27 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with TG Macro founder Tony Greer to explore why markets are increasingly signaling a loss of faith in i...

You’re Waiting for the Bubble to Burst | Jan van Eck on Why It Already Has

25 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, to discuss how long-term macro forces are shaping markets and investme...

The Crash That Won’t Come | Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather on the Great Housing Reset

24 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather joins Matt Zeigler to unpack what she calls the Great Housing Reset. Rathe...

The Chart of Truth Is Turning | Rupert Mitchell on the Regime Change Investors Are Missing

22 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Rupert Mitchell returns to break down a rapidly shifting global macro landscape and explain how he is positioning a...

10 Cents on the Dollar | Gary Mishuris on Mispriced Fear and Lessons from Warner Brothers

21 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Gary Mishuris, Managing Partner and CIO of Silver Ring Value Partners, to explore how deep fundame...

The Line We Can't Cross | Mike Green on the Passive Investing Endgame

20 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Mike Green of Simplify Asset Management for a deep dive into how passive investing has reshaped ma...

Disbelief Is the Real Risk: Gene Munster and Doug Clinton on Why the AI Bubble is Just Getting Started

18 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Excess Returns features Gene Munster and Doug Clinton breaking down their 2026 technology and market predictions, with a deep focus on...

The Bubble Most Will Get Wrong | Aswath Damodaran on How He is Managing His Own Money in a World of AI

16 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Professor Aswath Damodaran joins Matt Zeigler and Kai Wu for a wide-ranging conversation on valuation, portfolio co...

The Great Moderation Is Over | Liz Ann Sonders on What Replaces It

14 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we welcome back Liz Ann Sonders to discuss the evolving market and economic landscape heading into 2026. The conver...

The Regime Shift No One is Prepared For | Grant Williams on the 100 Year Pivot

12 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

This episode of Excess Returns features a wide ranging conversation with Grant Williams on what he calls the hundred year pivot. Grant explains why to...

Sold At "Irrational Exuberance". Still Lost Money | Sam Ro on the Bubble Paradox

10 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we dive deep into one of the most pressing investing debates today: how to think about valuations, profit margins, ...

Long-Term Uptrend. Short-Term Warning Signs | Katie Stockton on What the Charts Say About 2026

08 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies joins Matt Zeigler and Justin Carbonneau to walk through her technical outloo...

It’s Not K-Shaped. It’s No Shaped | Jim Paulsen on What You're Getting Wrong About 2026

06 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

Subscribe to the Jim Paulsen Show on Apple Podcasts⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-jim-paulsen-show/id1828054999⁠⁠Subscribe on Spo...

4% of Stocks. 100% of Wealth | Gautam Baid on the Brutal Math of Compounding

02 Jan 2026

Contributed by Lukas

In this wide-ranging conversation, Gautam Baid joins Excess Returns to discuss the principles that shaped his investing philosophy, the lessons learne...

We Read 22 2026 Market Forecasts So You Don't Have To | What You Need to Know

31 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler dig into forecast season by reviewing and synthesizing insights from 22 major Wall S...

The Truth No One Sees | 41 Great Investors Share Their Most Controversial Belief

28 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this special compilation episode of Excess Returns, we ask one revealing question to some of the most respected investors, strategists, and market ...

The Base Case is Wrong | Paul Eitelman on AI, Reacceleration and the Pause No One Sees

26 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Paul Eitelman, Global Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, to unpack their 2026 out...

Nothing Has a Right to Exist in Your Portfolio | What the Last 15 Years Has Taught Us

24 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In the latest episode of Click Beta, Matt Zeigler, Dave Nadig and Cameron Dawson take a look back at 2025 and a look forward to 2026. Subscribe to Cli...

The Existential Spending Battle | Adrian Helfert on What You’re Missing in the AI Arms Race

21 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Adrian Helfert of Westwood to discuss how investors should be thinking about portfolio constructio...

The Bureau of Missing Children | Ben Hunt and Adam Butler on the Broken Math of the American Dream

19 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this special episode, Adam Butler and Ben Hunt join Matt Zeigler to unpack one of the most charged debates in markets and economics today: whether ...

The Alpha No Human Can Find | David Wright on Machine Learning's Hidden Edge

17 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with David Wright, Head of Quantitative Investing at Pictet Asset Management, for a deep and practical ...

The Wall Street Labels That Trap You: Chris Mayer & Robert Hagstrom on How Language Misleads Markets

15 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of our new show The 100 Year Thinkers, Robert Hagstrom, Chris Mayer, Bogumil Baranowki and Matt Zeigler explain how investors get trap...

Magnet Above. Trap Door Below | Inside the Options Flows Driving Markets with Brent Kochuba

13 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Brent Kochuba takes a look behind the scenes at the options flows driving the market heading into the December options expiration and the end of 2025....

He Was Overweight Tech for 15 Years. He Just Downgraded the Mag Seven | Ed Yardeni Explains Why

11 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Ed Yardeni returns to Excess Returns to break down the evolving market landscape, why he moved the Magnificent 7 to underweight, and how AI, productiv...

The Single Most Important Metric | Matt Reustle on the Patterns That Separate Great Businesses

08 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

We are including this episode from our separate show Teach Me Like I'm Five in the Excess Returns feed. If you would like to continue receiving ne...

The Water No One Can See | Graeme Foerster on Six Courageous Questions for 2026

06 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Graeme Forster of Orbis joins us to discuss two major research papers: Six Courageous Questions for 2026 and Sunris...

The Thunderclap That Ends the Cycle | Jim Grant on the Risk No One Sees

04 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

James Grant, legendary founder of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, joins us for a wide-ranging conversation on cycles, interest rates, inflation, cre...

The Fed Is Fighting the Wrong War | Jim Paulsen on Why 3% Inflation Isn't the Problem

02 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode, we’re joined again by Jim Paulsen to break down the key themes shaping markets and the economy heading into 2026. Jim explains why ...

The One Lesson | 50+ Great Investors Share the One Thing They Would Teach You

30 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this special episode of Excess Returns, we share the most important investing lessons from more than 50 of our top guests. After asking more than 2...

World War AI | Ben Hunt on the Economic Consequences of the AI Boom

28 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt sits down with Ben Hunt to break down his new Epsilon Theory essay, World War AI. They explore how the US gove...

The Real Estate Bust Was the Plan | Louis-Vincent Gave on China's Brute Force Growth Strategy

26 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Louis-Vincent Gave of Gavekal Research for one of the most wide-ranging and eye-opening conversati...

The Pattern Is Staggering | Mary Ann Bartels on Why This Bull Market Is Just Getting Started

23 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode, we sit down with Sanctuary Wealth Chief Investment Strategist Mary Ann Bartels to break down her new 2026 outlook. We cover her long-...

The Risk Isn't Where You Think | Carl Kaufman on AI Capex, Private Credit and the Hidden Bond Play

21 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

In this episode of Excess Returns, we talk with Carl Kaufman, Co-President and Co-CIO of Osterweis Capital Management, about navigating today’s fixe...

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