Excess Returns
Episodes
10 Lessons From Our 5 Most Popular Podcasts of 2021 - Rob Arnott, Michael Mauboussin, Ben Inker, Cullen Roche, Tobias Carlisle
02 Jan 2022
Contributed by Lukas
Our goal when we started the Excess Returns podcast was to hopefully use the platform to help educate investors, and to learn ourselves in the process...
A Tactical Approach to Conservative Investing with Sierra Investment Management's Dave Wright
28 Dec 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Conservative investing has a reputation for being boring. But our guest this week deploys a conservative approach that is far from that. We speak to D...
Michael Mauboussin on Valuation, Base Rates and Expectations Investing
19 Dec 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Michael Mauboussin is one of the most insightful long-term thinkers in the investing world. For decades, his research has taken deep dives into market...
Is the Market Rigged in Favor of Corporate Insiders? We Talk to Wharton Professor Daniel Taylor to Find Out
12 Dec 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There is a perception many have that the market is rigged in favor of corporate insiders. And there is certainly justification for that perception. In...
Inflation, Factors and Stock Returns with Ehren Stanhope
05 Dec 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode, we speak with O'Shaughnessy Asset Management's Ehren Stanhope about his excellent research paper "The Great Inflation, Factors, and S...
Andrew Thrasher Schools Two Value Guys on Technical Analysis and Forecasting Volatility Tsunamis
28 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode we take a deep dive into technical analysis with Andrew Thrasher, founder of Thrasher Analytics and portfolio manager at the Financial...
Lu Zhang On The Evolution of Asset Pricing Models And His First Principles Approach to Improve Them
21 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Asset pricing models have evolved significantly over the past several decades. From the Capital Asset Pricing Model to Fama and French's 3 Factor Mode...
An In Depth Look at Multi-Asset Investing with Westwood's Adrian Helfert
16 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
We are currently in a very interesting time for investors. We have experienced a run in equities following the 2020 decline that many did not think wa...
Sheridan Titman On His Seminal Paper on Momentum Investing and What He Has Learned Since
07 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Momentum was a factor that many academics were very reluctant to embrace. Our guest this week, Sheridan Titman, helped to change that with his 1993 pa...
Everything You Need to Know About Inflation with Cullen Roche
31 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Inflation is probably the most talked about topic in investing today. Some think it has become a major problem. Others (including the Fed) think it is...
Ritholtz Wealth CFO Bill Sweet Talks the Biden Tax Plan, Direct Indexing and Lessons From Their Rapid Growth
24 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
This week we talk to Ritholtz Wealth CFO Bill Sweet. Bill has had a very unique career, which started serving our country in the military and also inc...
The Underappreciated Growth Story of Emerging Markets with Kevin Carter
17 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Value investors currently love emerging markets. Whether you look at projections from GMO or Research Affiliates or any of the other major firms who l...
Worried About the Future of the 60-40 Portfolio? We Look at Some Alternatives
10 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The 60-40 portfolio has been a solid long-term performer for investors. It has worked in bull markets. It has also held up well in deflationary shocks...
Balancing Return and Risk in Factor Investing with Harin de Silva
03 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Many factor investors tend to use similar approaches. You will typically see some value and momentum in their strategies. You will also likely see som...
Dispelling Myths in the Value vs. Growth Debate with GMO's Ben Inker
26 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
After years of struggle, it seemed like the big rebound value investors had been waiting for was upon us in the wake of the 2020 bear market. But rece...
Return Stacking with Corey Hoffstein and Rodrigo Gordillo
19 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
With bonds yields near all time lows and stock valuations near all time highs, the future returns of the 60/40 portfolio don't look promising. This ha...
Gregg Fisher on the Future of Value, Investing in Innovation and Lessons From 20+ Years as a Quant
16 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Our guest in this episode is Gregg Fisher of Quent Capital. Gregg was a pioneer in factor investing and the founder of Gerstein Fisher, which he grew ...
The Elusive Definition of Quality
12 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Buying stocks of high quality companies is something investors are almost universally attracted to. But the details of how to define quality, and the ...
An In-Depth Look at Factor Valuation - And Which Factors Look Cheap Today
05 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Valuing factors can be a confusing process. Not only are there are different factors to look at, there are also many ways to define them and a variety...
Investing in Quality Dividend Growers to Achieve Your "Freedom Day" With Ryan Krueger
29 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
When many investors think about dividend investing they think about buying the highest yielding stocks. But investing in quality companies that are gr...
The Downside of Conviction
15 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Conviction is probably the most important thing in investing. Regardless of the investment strategy you utilize, the ability to stick with it during t...
Combining Growth and Momentum Investing with O'Neil Global's Randy Watts and WisdomTree's Jeremy Schwartz
12 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Many investors tend to think growth and momentum investing are highly aligned with each other. But as we have seen recently, with many momentum funds ...
The Return of Tobias Carlisle
05 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
This week we bring back our first repeat guest on the podcast. And we can't think of a better person to have back than our good friend Tobias Carlisle...
A Deep Dive into Sector Investing with State Street's Matt Bartolini
29 Jul 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Investors tend to either invest in passive funds or operate at the other extreme and use active strategies that select individual stocks. But there is...
The Facts About Factor Timing
25 Jul 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Factor timing seems so sensible on the surface. The idea of adding exposure to out of favor factors appeals to investors' desires to buy low and sell ...
The Truth About Dividend Investing
18 Jul 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Investors love dividends. They like them for their potential to beat the market. They like them for the income they provide. Some even like them becau...
The Underrated Role of Behavior in Investing with Joe Wiggins
15 Jul 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Sometimes as investors we tend to focus their efforts on the wrong things. We will spend a lot of time building complicated strategies. We will focus ...
An Inside Look at the Contrarian Investment Strategy of David Dreman
11 Jul 2021
Contributed by Lukas
David Dreman is a well known contrarian investor and the author of Contrarian Investment Strategies: The Next Generation. Dreman's Kemper-Dreman High ...
The Hidden Benefits of Rebalancing - And Some Tactics to Optimize the Process
04 Jul 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Investors will seek any type of edge they can find. Many run complicated models to try to generate an excess return. Others endure the pain that gener...
The Biggest Lessons From Our First 100 Episodes
01 Jul 2021
Contributed by Lukas
When we started our podcast in 2019, we were hoping we could create something that would be educational and informative for people who follow our cont...
Rob Arnott on Inflation, Bubbles and the Future of Value Investing
24 Jun 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Although the word unprecedented tends to be overused, we are seeing many things in the market currently that many of us haven't seen before. Fiscal st...
Some Quantitative Alternatives to the 60-40 Portfolio
20 Jun 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In a world where inflation is not a threat, a standard 60-40 portfolio does an excellent job of providing growth, while also limiting downside when st...
A Deep Dive into Factor Investing and the Future Potential of China with Jason Hsu
13 Jun 2021
Contributed by Lukas
We have had many experts in factor investing on the podcast. We have even had some who have published research in academic journals. But we haven't ha...
Finding Quality Value Stocks With Joseph Piotroski's F Score Methodology
06 Jun 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Research shows that value stocks can generate an excess return because the market tends to overestimate their problems, and value investors benefit wh...
Robert Hagstrom on Warren Buffett, Bill Miller and Finding High Quality Companies
03 Jun 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There have been so many books written about Warren Buffett that it can be hard to keep track of them. But before all of that could happen, someone had...
Could ARK Pose a Systemic Risk to the Market? A Look at How ETFs Work Can Help Us Find Out
30 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The growth of ARK investments has been one of the biggest stories of the past decade in the ETF space. its flagship fund, the ARK Innovation ETF has s...
Inside the First Hedge Fund to ETF Conversion and Finding Long-Term Compounders with Robert Cantwell
27 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
With the rapid growth in ETFs, it seems like almost every product idea possible has been tried. So it is rare to find something that is unique and has...
What Valuation Can Tell You About the Market – And What it Can’t
24 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There is no shortage of discussion in the media about the valuation of the market. And with the big market run we have had recently, valuations have o...
A Safety First Approach to Retirement Planning and the Problems with the 4% Rule with Wade Pfau
20 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The 4% rule has become one of the cornerstones of retirement planning. And in many ways that makes sense because investors who have spent 4% of their ...
Some Options for Managing Risk After a Big Market Run
16 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The stock market has had a huge run since last March. That fact, combined with unprecedented government stimulus, the potential for future inflation a...
An In Depth Look at Asset Allocation with Jim Masturzo of Research Affiliates
13 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
We are currently in a very challenging time for building multi-asset portfolios. The 60-40 portfolios is coming off one of its best decades ever, but ...
Strategy Focus: Low Volatility Investing and the Conservative Formula
09 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The success of of the low volatility factor can be challenging to explain. Investing theory teaches us that to get an additional return, we need to ta...
Six Potential Metrics to Help Limit Value Traps
03 May 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Deep value investing is about buying companies that other investors don’t want. It is about investing in companies where the current situation doesn...
Investing in Freedom in Emerging Markets with Perth Tolle, Founder of Life + Liberty Indexes
29 Apr 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The emerging market universe includes a very diverse set of countries, many of which are sorely lacking in the types of freedom enjoyed by their peopl...
Academic Research Spotlight: Migration by Eugene Fama and Kenneth French
25 Apr 2021
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we look at some interesting research that took a unique approach to explaining the value and size premiums. We examine the paper "Migration...
The Three Keys to Understanding Investing Bubbles
18 Apr 2021
Contributed by Lukas
With the stock market at all-time highs and returns over the past year some of the best in history, the word "bubble" is getting thrown around more an...
A Detailed Look at All Weather Investing with Eric Crittenden
15 Apr 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The last 40 years have been an exceptionally strong period for a portfolio of stocks and bonds. With stocks performing well and bonds benefitting from...
The Changing Nature of Momentum Investing
11 Apr 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Investors tend to associate momentum with growth stocks. If you try to name a typical momentum stock off the top of your head, you will probably think...
The Strengths and Weaknesses of the Major Value Metrics
05 Apr 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Many investors think all value strategies are fairly similar to each other. And as a result they expect the value funds they invest in will all perfor...
The History of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett with Adam Mead
01 Apr 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There have been hundreds of books written about Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. So it rare for a book come out that does something that none of...
Quantifying The Motley Fool’s Small Cap Growth Investment Strategy
28 Mar 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The Motley Fool is not known for their quantitative models. They are known for a discretionary growth style of investing that attempts to identify gam...
Rafael Resendes On Intrinsic Value, Economic Margin and How Some Value Models Have Lost Their Way
25 Mar 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Systematic value strategies have had one of the worst performing periods in their history in the past decade. This extended underperformance, coupled ...
What Has Really Driven the Rebound in Value Stocks?
21 Mar 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There is a popular narrative out there that value investing is back. And it makes sense given the huge run that many value funds have had off the mark...
Machine Learning, Fantasy Football and Factor Investing with Kevin Zatloukal
14 Mar 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode, we are joined by Kevin Zatloukal. Kevin teaches Computer Science at the University of Washington and has his Ph.D. in Computer Scienc...
Lessons From Warren Buffett's 2021 Annual Letter
07 Mar 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode, we discuss the major points Warren Buffett covered in his 2021 annual letter and talk about some lessons investors can learn from the...
Bridgeway Founder John Montgomery On Their Unique Culture and Lessons From a 25+ Year Career in Quant Investing
04 Mar 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode, we are joined by John Montgomery, the founder and CIO of Bridgeway Capital Management. Bridgeway is unique in the world of Wall Stree...
Academic Research Spotlight: Replicating Anomalies by Lu Zhang, Chen Xue and Kewei Hou
28 Feb 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode, we are trying something new. There is so much academic research out there about markets, and what drives their returns over time, tha...
GameStop: What Happened, How it Happened, and Lessons We Can Learn From It
21 Feb 2021
Contributed by Lukas
The rapid rise and fall of GameStop earlier this year was unlike anything many of us have seen in our investing careers. The stock's price went from t...
The Elusive Definition of Risk – And Some Practical Ways to Measure It
14 Feb 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Risk is one of the most difficult concepts in investing to define. Part of that is because we face many risks as investors that come from many differe...
A Detailed Look at Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula Method
07 Feb 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Joel Greenblatt produced exceptional returns as managing partner at Gotham Capital, a New York City-based hedge fund he founded. The firm averaged a r...
An In Depth Look at Momentum Investing and Trend Following with Jack Vogel
04 Feb 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There is perhaps no investment factor with more long-term data to support it than momentum. But despite that, its real world usage lags far behind oth...
The Impact of Intangible Assets on Value Investing
31 Jan 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Our economy is changing. Gone are the days where the biggest companies require substantial physical assets to operate and grow their businesses. Most ...
Interview: Replicating Private Equity Returns In Public Markets with Verdad’s Brian Chingono
28 Jan 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There are many misconceptions about private equity. Most investors see it as a domain where high net worth investors and institutions earn returns tha...
Examining the Arguments Against Value Investing
24 Jan 2021
Contributed by Lukas
After a decade of struggle, the past six months have finally given value investors reasons for optimism. Although the recent outperformance pale...
Why Dividend Investing May Be Overrated
17 Jan 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Dividend based investing strategies are very popular among investors. The ability to receive regular cash payments from the equities they own and a be...
Breaking Down the Investment Strategy of Peter Lynch
10 Jan 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Peter Lynch is one of the most successful mutual fund managers of all time. Lynch guided Fidelity Investment's Magellan Fund to a 29.2 percent average...
The Importance of Expectations in Investing
03 Jan 2021
Contributed by Lukas
There is a common misconception that a good company is always a good investment. But that sometimes isn't the case. The reason for that comes down to ...
The Biggest Lessons From Our Five Most Popular Interviews of 2020
27 Dec 2020
Contributed by Lukas
When we started our podcast late last year, we were hoping we could create something that would be educational and informative for people who follow o...
Eight Timeless Lessons All Investors Can Learn From Warren Buffett
20 Dec 2020
Contributed by Lukas
No investor can match the combination of Warren Buffett's annual returns and the period of time he has been able to sustain them. Buffett has generate...
Making Sense of Fed Intervention, Fiscal Stimulus and MMT with Cullen Roche
17 Dec 2020
Contributed by Lukas
The way economic policy is implemented has undergone some major changes in the past decade. The Federal Reserve's response to the Great Financial Cris...
Twin Momentum: Combining Fundamental and Price Momentum Together In One Quantitative Model
13 Dec 2020
Contributed by Lukas
The academic research supporting the momentum factor is very strong. But most of that research focuses on the momentum in a stock's price.  ...
Lessons From Our First Year of Podcasting
06 Dec 2020
Contributed by Lukas
We have reached the one year anniversary of the podcast so we wanted to take a break from our regular investing episodes for a week and reflect back o...
Why Eliminating Discretion from Quantitative Models is Harder Than You Think
29 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
There is a tendency for those of us who support quant models to talk about them as if they are these things that just run on autopilot over the long-t...
Is Value Investing Dead?
25 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Value investing has struggled for over a decade now. Although no one will dispute that fact, there are significant disagreements about whether this is...
Why You Shouldn’t Try To Copy Warren Buffett
22 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Warren Buffett is one of the greatest investors of all time. He has also been very generous in sharing the lessons he has learned over his career with...
The Fundamental Principles of Benjamin Graham and Whether They Still Work Today
15 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Benjamin Graham is considered by many to be the father of value investing. Not only did Graham produce an exceptional track record during his lifetime...
Monopolies, Intangible Assets and the Disruptive Economy with Kai Wu
12 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Our economy is changing. The largest, most successful companies in the world no longer require substantial tangible assets to operate their businesses...
Are Flows Into The S&P 500 And Other Passive Indexes Distorting The Market?
08 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
There is little disagreement among market observers that passive investing is growing. There is also little dispute that the trend is likely to contin...
Interview: The Birth, Growth & Death of Investing Factors with Adam Butler
05 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Many investors have come to accept the fact that the major factors like value and momentum will produce excess returns over the long-term. But what if...
Why Your Politics Shouldn't Affect Your Investment Portfolio
01 Nov 2020
Contributed by Lukas
We all have our political views. We all have a series of policies that we think would make the world a better place than it is today. And in the polar...
The Dangers of Trying to Outsmart the Market
25 Oct 2020
Contributed by Lukas
All of us can fall into the trap of thinking that a certain outcome in investing is obvious. Whether it be the future direction of the market, which a...
Interview: Curating Investing Content and Sharing Knowledge w/ Tadas Viskanta of Abnormal Returns and Ritholtz Wealth Management
22 Oct 2020
Contributed by Lukas
The volume of financial content that is produced these days can be completely overwhelming. Filtering through it to find the best articles is a task t...
Why Growth Investing is Harder Than You Think
18 Oct 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Growth investing has seemed easy in the past decade. Growth stocks have easily outpaced both value stocks and the market, which has led to great perfo...
Interview: A Multi-Disciplinary Approach to Investing and Learning with Nir Kaissar
15 Oct 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Investing in today's world requires an ability to understand multiple disciplines. In addition to understanding markets and having the ability to put ...
Interview: Liquidity Cascades with Corey Hoffstein
11 Oct 2020
Contributed by Lukas
It has been said that the most dangerous words in investing are "this time is different". But sometimes a confluence of factors come together to signi...
Why the S&P 500 is an Active Portfolio, and Other Observations on the Stages of Active Management
04 Oct 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Active management deserves all the criticism it gets. After all, over 80% of equity managers underperform their benchmarks over the long-term and acti...
Interview: The Past, Present and Future of Investing with Morningstar's John Rekenthaler
27 Sep 2020
Contributed by Lukas
John Rekenthaler is Vice President of Research for Morningstar, the author of the Rekenthaler Report column, and a leading expert on the mutual fund i...
Bonus Episode: Six Narratives Shaping The Market In 2020
24 Sep 2020
Contributed by Lukas
In this bonus episode, we we discuss a presentation Justin recently gave to Fidelity customers about some of the major narratives shaping the current ...
Why the Stock Market is Near All Time Highs Despite the Major Issues in the Economy
20 Sep 2020
Contributed by Lukas
We are currently in one of the most difficult economic environments many of us will see if our lifetimes. Even though the unemployment rate has fallen...
Is Direct Indexing the Future of Investing?
13 Sep 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Technology has allowed all of us to personalize many aspects of our lives. Rather than accept products tailored to a wide range of people, we are now ...
Six Lessons New Robinhood Traders Could Learn From Peter Lynch
06 Sep 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Trading volumes at online brokers have skyrocketed since the Coronavirus crisis began. If there is one lesson these newly minted traders have learned ...
Interview: Bridging Academic Research and Real World Investing with Professor Partha Mohanram
30 Aug 2020
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode we are joined by Professor Partha Mohanram. Professor Mohanram is the John H. Watson Chair in Value Investing at the Rotman School at ...
Four Reasons Value Investing Might Not be Dead Yet
23 Aug 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Value investors have fallen on difficult times in the most recent decade. Value's extended underperformance has led many to question whether the strat...
Interview: A Conversation about Buffett, Berkshire & High-Quality Shareholders w/ Professor Lawrence Cunningham
16 Aug 2020
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode, we are joined by Lawrence Cunningham. He is a professor at George Washington University and one of the world's leading experts on War...
Have the Fed, Narratives and Passive Flows Broken Fundamental Investing?
09 Aug 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Valuing a company (or the market in general) typically involves looking at its price and judging that price relative to its current and projected futu...
Finding Diamonds in the Rough Among Growth Stocks
02 Aug 2020
Contributed by Lukas
Buying expensive stocks has historically been a terrible investing strategy. On average, expensive stocks significantly underperform the market as a w...
The Danger of Learning From Your Mistakes
26 Jul 2020
Contributed by Lukas
The process of learning from your mistakes is an important part of improving yourself over time both as an investor and as a person. But it requires t...
Active Value Investing in a Changing World with Vitaliy Katsenelson
19 Jul 2020
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode we are joined by Vitaliy Katsenelson. Vitaliy is the author of the popular Contrarian Edge blog and the CEO of investment firm IMA.&nb...
Is the Price/Book Ratio Dead?
12 Jul 2020
Contributed by Lukas
The Price/Book ratio has probably been the most important valuation ratio of the past century. If you look at the academic research that supports valu...
Can Warren Buffett Be Quantified?
05 Jul 2020
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode, we are going to try something a little different. Our goal at Validea is to capture quantitative strategies that work over the long-t...