Final One Standing: Can United Maintain Form?| "Chelsea are a bask0et case!" | Lights on for Leeds | Full Episode
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
Football on Off the Ball. There is an unpredictability about it.
What are the unpredictable elements of Premier League football?
And if there was a predictability about it, we'd all be drinking caipirinhas and daiquiris, as Pep suggested, but on Copacabana Beach, having just sort of taken the bookies to the cleaners.
Join in the obsession. Subscribe now at offtheball.com forward slash join.
The final one standing by William Hill on Off the Ball. download the app and play today. 18plusgamblingcare.ie All right, this week's episode of Final One Saturday.
We've got a full house for you. Michael McCarthy, David Wilson and Shane Hannan in studio. We've got Lee Phelps with us on the line. Gentlemen, a very good morning, good afternoon and good night. How is everybody? All good. Straight off the bat, right, I need some advice. I know I can already, before I get into this, I can picture Mick is going to get angry halfway through as I start to explain.
Me?
The concept of the emotional hedge. Is everybody familiar with this?
Yeah. No. So a bet that your heart goes over your head, is it? The opposite. Right, the head goes over the heart. Yes, so you bet against your own team.
Ah, yes. You can't lose. Make yourself feel better. So when the inevitable bad thing happens, you feel good about it. So a couple of weeks back, I looked at the odds for Aston Villa not to finish in the top four.
Oh, Jer.
Four? Or five? Top four, top four. Oh, right, okay.
So there's a little bit of... Good chance of that.
A little bit of wiggle room here. And now I can cash out. I'm basically having nearly double my money. The odds have come down. I've shortened. It's like I get 60% plus my stake back. What should I do? Not to finish in the top four. Lee, are you allowed to give advice around stuff like this?
What is the concept of an emotional hedge in betting?
Yeah, let it ride. Let it ride. They're not going to finish in the top four. Let it ride. See, if they win tonight, they, you know. No, I'm being flippant.
That's an interesting one, that. At what point do you cash out so that you can start wanting your team to win again and not be... I want them to win.
I know, but... I'd much rather lose this money.
Yeah, but you have this nag in the back of your head, you know, that's like... Well, it's not too bad, I suppose, if Wolves beat them 3-0 on Friday Night Football.
Fifth, you still qualify for the Champions League, so that's my get out of jail for this.
Wolves win tonight, then you cash out?
Well, if Wolves win tonight, you're not cashing out, you're like, sorry, I'm going to take the money at the end of the season when they absolutely don't finish.
Yeah, you'd have to say Liverpool... I mean, in terms of the odds right now, it's two to one on Villa. This is top four. Four to seven Man United, four to five Liverpool. Chelsea have now drifted out to five to two. So the question is, the only question, I think Liverpool come on strong for the rest of the season. The question for me is, can Manchester United maintain this kind of form. I think Villa are susceptible. I think, I don't think they'll, they'll power their way through, especially, you know, with other stuff going on for them. I'm, I'm always like, let it ride. I must admit, I'm not much of a kind of like a cash out merchant. I just want to, if I've made the bet, I want to see it win. I don't think I've ever cashed out.
But really, really what you, what you, what your position you're in is you've got the best of both worlds here now. So take the money, Watch Villa finish in the top five and everyone's happy.
Emotional hedges are great, by the way. They generally tend to come through. I strongly recommend it as a way of gambling.
We've become too risk-averse as a society. That's why we're only going back to the moon next month, Ger. So I would say hold on to that bet. Don't back out.
Stick with it. And Puritan. We're very angry about St. Patrick having a pint. But anyway, that's another story for another day.
Yeah.
I think that it's the top five race with like four teams for three places is we thankfully we have a title race. And for the first time in years, we have a relegation battle. So it's very much going to take its proper place as the third most important thing.
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Chapters
5 chapters
1
What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
0:00–0:04
2
What are the unpredictable elements of Premier League football?
0:04–1:44
3
What is the concept of an emotional hedge in betting?
1:44–8:53
4
Can Manchester United maintain their current form?
8:53–16:12
5
How do injuries affect Aston Villa's performance?
16:12–40:58
Speakers
6 identifiedMore from OTB Football
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