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Odd Lots

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Emerging Markets Have Never Experienced A Crisis Like This Before

20 Apr 2020

Contributed by Lukas

With major economies around the world coming to a screeching halt, emerging markets are in a squeeze of historic proportions. Not only are they being ...

Why The War On Physical Cash Is A War On Freedom

17 Apr 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Commerce and payments are increasingly digital. This shift from physical to electronic is one that governments and businesses are eager to accelerate ...

Marco Rubio On The Effort To Save Jobs And Get People Working Again

15 Apr 2020

Contributed by Lukas

At the end of March, Congress passed the CARES Act in an attempt to mitigate some of the massive economic devastation being caused by the coronavirus ...

How To Stop The Fiscal Emergency Facing U.S. Cities And States

13 Apr 2020

Contributed by Lukas

With the U.S. economy going into a deep slump, the Federal government has attempted to counteract the pain by increasing spending. But for cities and ...

Here’s What’s Happening With Those Korean Structured Notes That Bet Against Market Volatility

09 Apr 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Earlier this year on Odd Lots, we did an episode about Korean structured investment products that were sold to retail investors, whose performance was...

Tom Barrack On The Crisis In The Commercial Real Estate Market

06 Apr 2020

Contributed by Lukas

The commercial real estate market has been clobbered in this crisis, as restaurants and stores virtually shut down entirely throughout the month of Ma...

Zoltan Pozsar and Perry Mehrling On The Historic Crisis Of Financial Market Plumbing

30 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

The plumbing of the financial system is coming under strain like never before. On this week’s podcast, we speak with two legendary experts on how th...

How The Crisis Nearly Blew Up One Of The World’s Safest Trades

26 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

In normal times, U.S. Treasuries are the ultimate safe haven. They are highly liquid and guaranteed to pay out. So when people want to hide out during...

A Longstanding Fear About The Corporate Debt Market May Finally Be Coming True

23 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

For a long time, people have been warning that corporate debt could be the major source of vulnerability in today's economy. And the market meltdown t...

How A Macro Manager Is Trading On One Of The Wildest Markets In History

19 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Markets around the world are so extremely volatile that nobody can think of any perfect precedent. There are shades of the Great Recession, 1987, the ...

How Saudi Arabia Delivered A Blow To U.S. Shale Companies At The Worst Possible Moment

16 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Saudi Arabia recently announced that it was engaging in a full-on price war by pumping oil like crazy. At one point, after the move, the price of Bren...

How To Stop The Recession From Happening Right Now

12 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

The U.S. is on the verge of an economic crisis due to the coronavirus, as people and businesses aggressively pull back on spending. On this week's Odd...

Did Passive Investing Fuel A Bubble In Ultra-Large Tech Stocks?

09 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Questions continue to arise over the effect of passive investing, and whether or not it's somehow distorting the market. On this week's episode, we sp...

How A Profane Subreddit Moved The Market

05 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

In recent weeks, before the stock market plunged, a page on reddit called r/WallStreetBets suddenly started exhibiting enormous influence on a handful...

How Iraq Pulled Off One Of The Biggest Sovereign Debt Restructurings Of All Time

02 Mar 2020

Contributed by Lukas

There are lots of famous debt crises in history, but the story of Iraq's government debt build-up in the 1980s and subsequent restructuring in the ear...

This Is What The Coronavirus Means For The Chinese Supply Chain

26 Feb 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Apple's recent revenue warning reminded the world of how exposed the company is to China, and in particular its factories. As the coronavirus continue...

The Jeweler From Uncut Gems Explains Why People Go Crazy For Gold And Diamonds

24 Feb 2020

Contributed by Lukas

One of the best recent movies was Uncut Gems, in which Adam Sandler plays a Diamond District jeweler with an addiction to gambling and risk. It turns ...

What the Coronavirus Means for Pandemic Bonds

17 Feb 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Back in 2017, the World Bank issued the world's first pandemic bonds. The bonds are meant to shift some of the financial risk of a global pandemic on ...

Why The Rise of Passive Investing Might Be Distorting The Market

10 Feb 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Over the last decade or so, we've seen an incredible rise in so-called passive investing. While definitions differ over what this means, we've seen mo...

How To Use Fiscal Stimulus To Stave Off The Next Recession

03 Feb 2020

Contributed by Lukas

There's a growing consensus that governments need to act more aggressively in using fiscal policy to stave off the next recession, and that monetary p...

Perry Mehrling Explains Why "The Money View" Is Key To Understanding Financial Markets

27 Jan 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Even to this day, there are economists who don't understand money or don't think that money is an important aspect of the economy. They see the world ...

Why The Transition To Clean Energy Is Happening A Lot Faster Than People Realize

24 Jan 2020

Contributed by Lukas

At the recent World Economic Forum in Davos, there was a lot of talk about the need to change the world's energy usage in order to address climate cha...

How An Exotic Investment Product Sold In Korea Could Create Havoc In The U.S. Options Market

20 Jan 2020

Contributed by Lukas

What's the connection between low global interest rates, Korean retail investors, and the U.S. options market? On this week's Odd Lots podcast, we dis...

What It's Like To Be An Investor In Iran's Market Right Now

13 Jan 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Iran's stock market is one of the most unfamiliar equity markets in the world. With Iran under stringent U.S. sanctions, it's hard to even find data o...

Introducing Prognosis Season 4: America's Broken Health-Care Costs

09 Jan 2020

Contributed by Lukas

Americans are paying more and getting less for their health care than ever before. On the new season of Prognosis, reporter John Tozzi explores what w...

Why So Many Emerging Markets Are Blowing Up Right Now

06 Jan 2020

Contributed by Lukas

From Argentina to Chile to Lebanon, we're seeing a high degree of political and economic uncertainty among emerging market economies. On this week's O...

Why It's A Big Problem That Economists Still Don't Understand Money

30 Dec 2019

Contributed by Lukas

The severity of the Great Financial Crisis took economists by surprise, particularly the ones who believed that markets were largely stable and self-r...

A Human Rights Activist Explains Why Bitcoin Is So Important to His Work

23 Dec 2019

Contributed by Lukas

When people think about Bitcoin, they often think about neo-goldbugs who hate inflation and the Federal Reserve. But beyond the financial case for it,...

How Online Dating Is Reshaping the Entire Economy

16 Dec 2019

Contributed by Lukas

By this point, everybody knows that online dating is a massive phenomenon, reshaping the social habits of the young and the single. But perhaps people...

How Nearly Two Decades Of Fed Policy Contributed To Bubbles, Busts, And A Boom In Debt

09 Dec 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Many people like to claim that the Federal Reserve is responsible for the high degree of leverage and speculation in the economy. But the mechanism vi...

How Bond Defaults Are Changing China's Markets

02 Dec 2019

Contributed by Lukas

For years, defaults were few and far between in China's corporate bond market. Most investors thought that the Chinese government would never let comp...

This is How Economic Crisis and Precarity Shaped the Millennial Generation

25 Nov 2019

Contributed by Lukas

How do Millennials view investing and spending? How do the rising costs of healthcare, education, and housing affect their economic outlook? How does ...

How A Former 'Magic: The Gathering' Player Became the Top Tournament Poker Player Of All Time

18 Nov 2019

Contributed by Lukas

According to the website The Hendon Mob, the top tournament poker player of all time is the American Bryn Kenney, who has won a staggering $55.5 milli...

Why The Repo Markets Went Crazy, And Why December Could Be Even Worse

11 Nov 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Back in September, chaos erupted in short-term funding markets, as the cost for financial institutions to borrow reserves soared. Immediately a major ...

An Anthropologist Explains How Wall Street Culture Reshaped The Entire Economy

04 Nov 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Where did the notion come from that the obligation of a company's management is to maximize shareholder returns, even if it means pain for workers? On...

Why Taiwanese Life Insurers Are The Great 'Whodunit' Of The Financial World

28 Oct 2019

Contributed by Lukas

You probably haven't thought much about the Taiwanese life insurance industry. Why would you have? But they're among the most fascinating entities in ...

Coming Soon: Travel Genius Season 2

25 Oct 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Bloomberg's Travel Genius podcast is back! After clocking another hundred-thousand miles in the sky, hosts Nikki Ekstein and Mark Ellwood have a whole...

How Private Sector Balance Sheets Changed Recessions

21 Oct 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Can the U.S. economy have a recession without it turning into a crisis? In the old days, such garden-variety recessions were fairly common. These days...

Why Governments Haven't Learned The Lessons Of Japan

14 Oct 2019

Contributed by Lukas

It's well known that Japan has (until recently) been mired in years of mediocre economic growth. And policymakers and economists use Japan as a warnin...

The Odd Lots Variety Show

07 Oct 2019

Contributed by Lukas

On September 19, 2019, Odd Lots hosted its first-ever live event at the WNYC Greene Space in downtown New York City. With an all-star lineup of guests...

Introducing Stephanomics Season 2

01 Oct 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Stephanie Flanders, head of Bloomberg Economics, returns to bring you another season of on-the-ground insight into the forces driving global growth an...

How Financial Repression in China Helped Cause the Trade War

30 Sep 2019

Contributed by Lukas

For years, China has experienced blistering growth. Driven by an investment-heavy economic model, this growth has limited household income while subsi...

What Businesses Can Learn From the Collapse of Civilizations

23 Sep 2019

Contributed by Lukas

History is littered with collapsed civilizations ranging from the Maya to Angkor Wat. But what can they tell us about the world today, or doing busi...

Why The Dominant U.S. Dollar Refuses To Go Away

16 Sep 2019

Contributed by Lukas

For years, people have been predicting the demise of the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency. Although the U.S. economy has been shrinking as ...

Huw van Steenis On What Central Banks Will Do Next

09 Sep 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Last month, central bankers gathered at the annual Economic Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. A lot of the talk was about the limits of monetary pol...

Why Value Investing Has Been Doing Terribly

02 Sep 2019

Contributed by Lukas

One of the oldest, most basic strategies in investing is value investing, which, for lack of a better way to put it, means "buy stocks that are cheap....

Introducing Prognosis Season 3: Superbugs

27 Aug 2019

Contributed by Lukas

On this new season of Prognosis, we look at the spread of infections that are resistant to antimicrobial medicines. You're probably more likely to hav...

How to Forecast the Future

26 Aug 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Every day, people are bombarded with predictions of what will happen in the future. In recent months, talk of 'inflection points' in the markets has h...

John Hempton on What's Ailing Bank Stocks

19 Aug 2019

Contributed by Lukas

We live in a world of generally expensive stock markets and bank equities trading at 30-year lows. So says John Hempton, co-founder of hedge fund Bron...

What Negative Interest Rates Mean for the World

12 Aug 2019

Contributed by Lukas

The amount of negative-yielding debt keeps climbing and now includes bonds issued by emerging market countries and some junk-rated companies. On this ...

How Science Fiction Explains the U.S.-China Trade War

05 Aug 2019

Contributed by Lukas

It's no secret that a lot of the trade tensions between the U.S. and China have centered on technology, and China has accused the U.S. of trying to st...

Here's How People Are Using Cryptocurrency in Venezuela

29 Jul 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Last month, Facebook announced it was launching its own cryptocurrency called Libra. Facebook says Libra is going to have all sorts of benefits, inclu...

The Bullish Case for WeWork

22 Jul 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Of all the “unicorn” startups in recent years, perhaps none induces more skepticism than WeWork. Thanks to its gigantic losses and unusual busines...

Why A Longtime Bull Just Flipped Very Bearish On The Stock Market

15 Jul 2019

Contributed by Lukas

There's always bears out there predicting that the stock market will tank. But many of them aren't worth listening to because they're always saying th...

What Bitcoin Has To Do With The Dream Of Cryonics

08 Jul 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Bitcoin has been around for roughly a decade now, but people have been working on the dream of an anonymous, digital currency for a lot longer than th...

Why a Strong Dollar Causes Most of the World Major Pain

01 Jul 2019

Contributed by Lukas

The vast majority of global trade is still denominated in U.S. dollars, making cross-border flows about currencies as much as manufactured goods. On t...

One of Hong Kong's Most Famous Investors Gives His Vision of the City's Future

24 Jun 2019

Contributed by Lukas

There's been a series of historic marches in Hong Kong, with millions of people taking to the streets to protest against an extradition bill that they...

How Auction Guarantees Are Changing The World Of Art

17 Jun 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Famous, unique pieces of art are inherently illiquid. They don't sell very often, and pricing is inherently difficult to estimate. Nonetheless, it's a...

What Boy Band Sensation BTS Can Teach Us About Economics

10 Jun 2019

Contributed by Lukas

South Korean boy band BTS is rarely connected to economics, but as the biggest success to come out of K-Pop, it arguably should be. On this week's epi...

Why President Trump's Move Against Huawei Is Such A Big Deal

03 Jun 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Earlier this month, President Trump escalated the trade tensions against China by limiting exports of U.S. technology to Huawei. But what is Huawei, a...

Bloomberg Presents "What Goes Up"

29 May 2019

Contributed by Lukas

“What Goes Up” is a new show from Bloomberg that tracks the main themes influencing global markets. Hosts Sarah Ponczek and Mike Regan speak with ...

Meet The Godfather Of Cryptocurrency

27 May 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Bitcoin has been around for about ten years. But the dream of a decentralized, anonymous digital currency has been around for decades. On this week's ...

Bloomberg and Wondery Present: The Shrink Next Door

23 May 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Marty Markowitz had his share of problems. His parents had recently died. He had troubles at work. A failing relationship. He needed someone to help h...

Behind the Scenes of Financial Fraud

20 May 2019

Contributed by Lukas

If you lived in NYC a few decades ago, you probably have heard of Crazy Eddie, an electronics retailer that was famous for its outlandish ads on TV. W...

What the Russian Revolution Can Teach Us About Bond Bubbles

13 May 2019

Contributed by Lukas

When talking government bond defaults, plenty of people think of Argentina and Greece. But the biggest sovereign debt default of all time was arguably...

Introducing: Business of Bees

09 May 2019

Contributed by Lukas

These days about one in three bites of food you eat wouldn’t be possible without commercial bee pollination. And the economic value of insect pollin...

How A Poker Pro 'Reads' His Opponents

06 May 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Whenever poker is depicted on a TV show or in a movie there's a lot of emphasis placed on the art and science of reading the physical cues that player...

What Will Crypto’s Market Structure Look Like?

29 Apr 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Recently, the cryptocurrency exchange Binance delisted a Bitcoin offshoot, causing its price to fall. Crypto’s market structure is still in its earl...

The End of An Era for Odd Lots

22 Apr 2019

Contributed by Lukas

No, no, don't worry, the Odd Lots podcast isn't coming to an end. But for actual odd lots -- trades of securities in unusually-sized increments -- it'...

Introducing "What Goes Up," A New Show From Bloomberg

17 Apr 2019

Contributed by Lukas

On this new show from Bloomberg, hosts Mike Regan and Sarah Ponczek speak with expert guests each week about the main themes influencing global market...

Why Foreign Investors Cooled On U.S. Debt

15 Apr 2019

Contributed by Lukas

There's something wrong with prices in funding and bond markets, according to this week's Odd Lots guest. Zoltan Pozsar is a former adviser to the U.S...

MMT And Emerging Markets

08 Apr 2019

Contributed by Lukas

In discussions about Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) you often hear that while it may be true that the U.S. has the space to expand its deficits signific...

From MMT Advocate To Outspoken Critic

01 Apr 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Cullen Roche, the author of the financial blog Pragmatic Capitalism, explains why he went from an adherent of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) to one of i...

A Critic of Cryptocurrencies Says Bitcoin Needs To Be Burnt With Fire

25 Mar 2019

Contributed by Lukas

There's a problem in many debates about cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. While many people are inclined to dismiss them as fraudulent ponzi...

The Evolution Of The Online Brokerage Business

18 Mar 2019

Contributed by Lukas

The online brokerage business burst on the scene in the late 90s, as at-home traders were lured to try their hand at winning big in the stock market. ...

What's Next For Chinese Trade Talks

11 Mar 2019

Contributed by Lukas

China is front and center in the news again, thanks to the trade negotiations, as well as the National People's Congress, during which the government ...

Canada's Cannabis Market So Far

04 Mar 2019

Contributed by Lukas

In mid-October last year, recreational cannabis became legal in Canada. Of course, there are all kinds of complications with any attempt to introduce ...

How To Analyze An IPO

25 Feb 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Some of Silicon Valley's biggest unicorns like Uber and Slack are expected to go public this year. But when companies finally pull the trigger and lau...

Tech Stock Bubbles In the 17th Century

18 Feb 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Jamie Catherwood is an investment analyst at Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. He's also a major financial history buff, and tells us the story of the tec...

A Message from The Pay Check

13 Feb 2019

Contributed by Lukas

The Pay Check is collecting stories for our upcoming season, and we want to hear from you! Did having a kid change your career trajectory or the way y...

Understanding The Big Tech Stocks

11 Feb 2019

Contributed by Lukas

For years, the key to beating the stock market was to invest a lot in the big tech stocks like Facebook and Apple. But in 2018, they stumbled hard, am...

What To Know Ahead Of India's Election

04 Feb 2019

Contributed by Lukas

India is going to have a general election in the months ahead, and so it's important to understand the state of the economy, and what incumbent Prime ...

How Does The Chinese Economy Work?

28 Jan 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Matt Boesler, an economics reporter for Bloomberg, had the opportunity to report from Beijing for a few months in 2018. He shares with us his experien...

The 1MDB Scandal And The Nature of Debt

21 Jan 2019

Contributed by Lukas

At the heart of government debt is a promise to pay back creditors. But governments sometimes don't do this - either by defaulting on their bonds or r...

Making Bitcoin A Currency People Use

14 Jan 2019

Contributed by Lukas

Even at Bitcoin’s recent peak, there was very little active use of the cryptocurrency in normal commerce. On this week's episode, we speak with Bitc...

Introducing "Works For Me," A New Podcast From Bloomberg

09 Jan 2019

Contributed by Lukas

On this new show from Bloomberg, hosts Francesca Levy and Rebecca Greenfield navigate the productivity industry by way of their own experiences. In ea...

He Rode The Bitcoin Boom All The Way Up, And Down

07 Jan 2019

Contributed by Lukas

The last two years have been an extraordinary ride for Bitcoin. It exploded in 2017, with the price nearing $20,000 per coin. Then in 2018 it totally ...

This is What Traders Will Be Watching In 2019

31 Dec 2018

Contributed by Lukas

After a volatile 2018, few people in the market expect calm to return anytime soon. Politics, the Fed, and trade will continue to be major sources of ...

These Were The Most Important Stories for Traders In 2018

24 Dec 2018

Contributed by Lukas

2018 will go down as one of the most pivotal for financial markets since the financial crisis. We saw the return of significant volatility, amid poor ...

How Passive Investing Could Change Capitalism

17 Dec 2018

Contributed by Lukas

The biggest macro trend in investing is the rise of so-called "passive investing." But while this may have advantages for the individual investor, it ...

The Market's Big Bet on Low Volatility

10 Dec 2018

Contributed by Lukas

The past couple months have seen the return of volatility in markets. On this edition of Odd Lots, we speak to Chris Cole, the founder of Artemis Capi...

How To Analyze The Currency Markets

03 Dec 2018

Contributed by Lukas

With assets like stocks and bonds, there are clear techniques you can use to value them. But what about currencies? They don't produce cash flows. The...

How Paul Volcker Views His Life

26 Nov 2018

Contributed by Lukas

Paul Volcker is widely-regarded as single-handedly halting a period of severe inflation in the U.S. during the late 1970s and early 1980s. But the for...

Why Blockchain May Never Benefit Corporations

19 Nov 2018

Contributed by Lukas

For years, a common mantra among corporate executives has been that "the blockchain," the technology underlying Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, is...

This Is How The Unicorn Bubble Will Burst

12 Nov 2018

Contributed by Lukas

So-called "unicorns" have become household names in recent years. Multi-billion dollar companies like AirBNB, Uber, and WeWork have become known for p...

Travel Genius, a New Show From Bloomberg

06 Nov 2018

Contributed by Lukas

What’s the most sure-fire way to get a flight upgrade? How can you find the best, secret local restaurants by asking just one question? What's the f...

How The Original Rogue Trader Rebuilt His Life

05 Nov 2018

Contributed by Lukas

If there's one person associated with the term "Rogue Trader" it's Nick Leeson, who singlehandedly brought down Barings Bank in the early 90s, followi...

Prognosis, a New Show From Bloomberg

02 Nov 2018

Contributed by Lukas

Where does a medical cure come from? 100 years ago, it wasn't uncommon for scientists to test medicines by taking a dose themselves. As medical techno...

Why Eurodollars Might Be Ground Zero for De-Globalization

29 Oct 2018

Contributed by Lukas

Eurodollars have nothing to do with the euro-dollar exchange rate. Instead, they're effectively a source of dollars that operates outside the control ...

Coming Soon: The New Economy

24 Oct 2018

Contributed by Lukas

Bloomberg’s head of economics Stephanie Flanders calls on Bloomberg's worldwide network of reporters and expert commentators to cast a fresh eye on ...

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